Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Al Shamal had a probability of 11.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-3 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for an Al Shamal win it was 2-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.