Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar SC win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar SC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Qatar SC in this match.