Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 60.39%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 20.56% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 1-2 (5.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.