Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar SC win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Al Markhiya had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar SC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Al Markhiya win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qatar SC would win this match.