Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 60.12%. A win for Al Markhiya had a probability of 20.03% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 3-1 (7.14%). The likeliest Al Markhiya win was 1-2 (5.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.