La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 16, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
2 - 1
Alaves

Swedberg (66'), Aspas (84')
Aspas (9'), Giraldez Gonzalez (61'), Rodriguez (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kike (17')
Conechny (45+2'), Rodriguez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: West Ham 8-7 Celta Vigo (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 1-2 Alaves
Saturday, August 10 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Alaves
50.38% ( 0.02)	27.67% ( -0.02)	21.96%

Both teams to score 41.48% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.41% (

0.07)

62.6% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.83% (

0.05)

82.17% (

-0.05)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

0.04)

25.16% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.12% (

0.06)

59.88% (

-0.05)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.42% (

0.04)

44.58% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.41% (

0.03)

80.59% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 50.36%

Alaves 21.96%

Draw 27.66%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 15.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 50.36%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.96%