Club Friendlies 3
Aug 2, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Rico Perez
Alaves logo

Hercules
1 - 0
Alaves

Hernaiz Perera (15')
Retu (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

(59'), (90')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Hercules and Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ejea 1-0 Hercules
Thursday, November 14 at 5pm in Copa del Rey
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Last Game: Osasuna 3-0 Alaves
Saturday, December 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Hercules had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Hercules win was 1-0 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
HerculesDrawAlaves
34.5% (0.048999999999999 0.05)28.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.24% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.86% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)60.14% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.65% (-0.052 -0.05)80.34% (0.050999999999988 0.05)
Hercules Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)32.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)31.19% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)67.53% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hercules 34.5%
    Alaves 36.98%
    Draw 28.5%
HerculesDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 11.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.5%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.5%
0-1 @ 11.91%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.98%