Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.