Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (9.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.