Alaves logo
Copa del Rey
Dec 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
 
Sevilla logo

vs.

Coverage of the Copa del Rey 16th Finals clash between Alaves and Sevilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Alaves 1-2 Real Madrid
Sunday, December 14 at 8pm in La Liga
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Last Game: Sevilla 4-0 Real Oviedo
Sunday, December 14 at 1pm in La Liga
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Alaves has a probability of 30.27% and a draw has a probability of 26.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Alaves win is 1-0 (9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.6%).

Result
AlavesDrawSevilla
30.27%26.53%43.2%
Both teams to score 50.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.3%53.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82%75.18%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59%32.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07%68.93%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34%24.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82%59.18%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 30.27%
    Sevilla 43.19%
    Draw 26.53%
AlavesDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 7.1%
2-0 @ 5.07%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 30.27%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.99%
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 11.18%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 7.83%
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 43.19%

Head to Head
Sep 20, 2025 5.30pm
Apr 20, 2025 5.30pm
gameweek 32
Sevilla
1-1
Alaves
Fernandez (12')
Gudelj (10'), Suso (90+4')
Kike (45+2')
Guridi (42'), Diarra (86')
Sep 20, 2024 8pm
gameweek 6
Alaves
2-1
Sevilla
Vicente (17'), Martin (60')
Guridi (87')
Lukebakio (83')
Niguez (33'), Pedrosa (45+1'), Bade (75'), Salas (90+5')
Jan 12, 2024 8pm
gameweek 20
Sevilla
2-3
Alaves
Mir (70'), Ocampos (82' pen.)
Soumare (50'), Marcao (58'), Navas (63'), Mariano (73')
Tenaglia (26'), Kike (40'), Duarte (90')
Marin (23'), Benavidez (81'), Garcia (90+2'), Kike (90+1')
Aug 21, 2023 6pm
gameweek 2
Alaves
4-3
Sevilla
Rioja (7'), Duarte (44'), Kike (54', 59')
Gorosabel (90+1')
Abqar (15' og.), Lamela (41'), Mir (90+7')
Gudelj (62'), Torres (90+9')