La Liga

Dec 6, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Alaves Alaves
1-0
Real Sociedad

Boye (45+4' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 1-2 Real Madrid
Sunday, December 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Next Game: Alaves vs. Sevilla
Wednesday, December 17 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Girona
Friday, December 12 at 8pm in La Liga

Next Game: Eldense vs. Real Sociedad
Tuesday, December 16 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Real Sociedad
31.37%	27.66%	40.97%

Both teams to score 48.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.4%

57.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.62%

78.38%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.35%

33.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.7%

70.3%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38%

27.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84%

63.16%

Score Analysis

Alaves 31.37%

Real Sociedad 40.96%

Draw 27.65%

Alaves	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.37%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.65%	0-1 @ 11.95% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 7.69% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.96%