La Liga
Alaves
Dec 14, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Real Madrid
  • Victor Parada Gonzalez 6' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vicente 68' goal
  • Abde Rebbach 87' yellowcard
  • Abde Rebbach 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ander Guevara 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 24'
  • goal Rodrygo 76'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 80'

Alaves vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 3.15pm
Alaves 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Lucas Boye

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 8.00pm
Real Madrid 0 - 2 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.77% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%) , while for a Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Alaves 19.49%
Draw 22.77%
Real Madrid 57.74%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.61%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.54%
Under 2.5 47.46%
Over 3.5 30.33%
Under 3.5 69.68%
Over 4.5 14.9%
Under 4.5 85.1%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 61.55%
Under 0.5 38.45%
Over 1.5 24.8%
Under 1.5 75.2%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 83.84%
Under 0.5 16.16%
Over 1.5 54.39%
Under 1.5 45.62%

Score analysis

Alaves 19.49%
Draw 22.77%
Real Madrid 57.74%
Alaves
1-0 @ 5.94%
2-1 @ 5.17%
2-0 @ 2.84%
3-1 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 19.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 22.77%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 11.32%
0-2 @ 10.32%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-3 @ 6.27%
1-3 @ 5.99%
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-4 @ 2.86%
1-4 @ 2.73%
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 57.74%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 31
Alaves
Apr 13, 2025 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Madrid
  • Joan Jordan 42' yellowcard
  • Carlos Martin 55' yellowcard
  • Manu Sanchez 70' redcard
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 77' yellowcard
  • Santiago Mourino 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Raul Asencio del Rosario 19'
  • goal Eduardo Camavinga 34'
  • redcard Kylian Mbappe 38'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 80'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 88'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Thibaut Courtois 90'+7'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Real Madrid
Sep 24, 2024 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Alaves
  • Lucas Vazquez 1' goal
  • Federico Valverde 4' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 30' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 40' goal
  • Rodrygo 48' goal
  • Endrick 83' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Benavidez 85'
  • goal Kike 86'
La Liga Gameweek 36
Real Madrid
May 14, 2024 8.30pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Alaves
  • Jude Bellingham 10' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 27' goal
  • Federico Valverde 45'+1' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 52' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 70' goal
  • Arda Guler 81' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 50'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Alaves
Dec 21, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Madrid
  • Ruben Duarte 45' yellowcard
  • Javi Lopez 83' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 39'
  • redcard Nacho 54'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 84'
  • goal Lucas Vazquez 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Real Madrid
Feb 19, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Alaves
  • Luka Modric 33' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 63' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 80' goal
  • Karim Benzema 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Mamadou N'Diaye 48'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Alaves
Aug 14, 2021 9.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Madrid
  • Manu Garcia 35' yellowcard
  • Joselu 65' goal
  • goal Karim Benzema 48'
  • yellowcard Gareth Bale 53'
  • goal Nacho 56'
  • goal Karim Benzema 62'
  • yellowcard Thibaut Courtois 64'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 90'+2'

Form Data

Alaves 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
Barcelona 3 - 1 Alaves
Alaves 0 - 1 Celta Vigo
Girona 1 - 0 Alaves
Alaves 2 - 1 Espanyol
Getxo 0 - 4 Alaves
Real Madrid 1 - 2 Man City
Real Madrid 0 - 2 Celta Vigo
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Girona 1 - 1 Real Madrid
Olympiacos 3 - 4 Real Madrid
Elche 2 - 2 Real Madrid

Build-up

Head to head
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