Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.