Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 14, 2024 at 5pm UK
Nuevo Estadio de Ejea de los Caballeros

Ejea
1 - 0
Hercules

Val Puertolas (70')
Lopez (45'), El Mokh Badr (59'), Mangada Rodriguez (90+1'), Boudaoud Rodriguez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Retuerta Cuadros (15'), Diaby Ndiaye (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Ejea and Hercules.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ejea

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Hercules

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Last Game: Hercules 3-4 Castellon
Friday, August 9 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ejea win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Hercules had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ejea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Hercules win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ejea in this match.

Result
EjeaDrawHercules
40.24% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)27.85% (0.051000000000002 0.05)31.91% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 47.64% (-0.171 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.83% (-0.206 -0.21)58.16% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18% (-0.163 -0.16)78.82% (0.16 0.16)
Ejea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)28.3% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (-0.119 -0.12)64.02% (0.11600000000001 0.12)
Hercules Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)33.55% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (-0.164 -0.16)70.2% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Ejea 40.23%
    Hercules 31.9%
    Draw 27.84%
EjeaDrawHercules
1-0 @ 11.98% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 40.23%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.49% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.9%

How you voted: Ejea vs Hercules

Ejea
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Hercules
0.0%
7