Club Friendlies 3
Aug 9, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Rico Perez

Hercules
3 - 4
Castellon

Moreno (36'), Romera (82', 89')
FT(HT: 1-3)
De Miguel Alameda (23'), Suero (39'), Cipenga (45', 67')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Hercules and Castellon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hercules

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Hercules 1-0 Alaves
Friday, August 2 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Castellon

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Gimnastic 1-6 Castellon
Saturday, August 3 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Hercules had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Hercules win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.

Result
HerculesDrawCastellon
30.84% (0.07 0.07)27.9% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)41.25% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Both teams to score 47.13% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.35% (0.058 0.06)58.65% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.81% (0.045999999999999 0.05)79.19% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Hercules Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.42% (0.081000000000003 0.08)34.58% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.7% (0.087 0.09)71.3% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.96% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)63.59% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hercules 30.84%
    Castellon 41.25%
    Draw 27.9%
HerculesDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 6.95% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.45% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.46% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 30.84%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 12.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.85% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 41.25%