Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnastic win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnastic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.