Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Nou Estadi de Tarragona

Gimnastic
1 - 6
Castellon

Fernandez (51')
FT(HT: 0-4)
De Miguel Alameda (13' pen., 17', 42'), Domingo (30' og.), Aurelio (63'), van den Belt (86')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Gimnastic and Castellon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnastic

All competitions
Last Game: Orihuela 0-0 Gimnastic (6-5 pen.)
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in Copa del Rey

Castellon

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Elche 0-6 Castellon
Wednesday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnastic win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnastic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
GimnasticDrawCastellon
40.51% (1.724 1.72)28.45% (-0.044 -0.04)31.04% (-1.685 -1.69)
Both teams to score 45.68% (-0.341 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.52% (-0.203 -0.2)60.48% (0.201 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.39% (-0.154 -0.15)80.6% (0.151 0.15)
Gimnastic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (0.90600000000001 0.91)29.26% (-0.909 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (1.102 1.1)65.22% (-1.105 -1.11)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.58% (-1.327 -1.33)35.42% (1.325 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.82% (-1.402 -1.4)72.18% (1.399 1.4)
Score Analysis
    Gimnastic 40.51%
    Castellon 31.03%
    Draw 28.43%
GimnasticDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 12.73% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.441 0.44)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.153 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.255 0.26)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 40.51%
1-1 @ 13.21% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 10.36% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.43%
0-1 @ 10.75% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.276 -0.28)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.373 -0.37)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 31.03%