Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio Municipal Los Arcos

Orihuela
0 - 0
Gimnastic


Ayodele (15'), Ortiz (77'), F. (93'), Martinez (105')
FT
(aet)

Jardi (40'), Santamaria (46'), Recio (59')
Orihuela win 6-5 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Orihuela and Gimnastic.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Orihuela 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, January 11 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
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Last Game: Gimnastic 1-2 Osasuna
Thursday, January 5 at 3pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orihuela win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Gimnastic had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orihuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Gimnastic win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%).

Result
OrihuelaDrawGimnastic
39.99% (0.025999999999996 0.03)28.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)31.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.36% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.87% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)62.13% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)81.83% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Orihuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)30.38% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Gimnastic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)36.28% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)73.07% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Orihuela 39.99%
    Gimnastic 31.07%
    Draw 28.93%
OrihuelaDrawGimnastic
1-0 @ 13.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 39.99%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 11.02% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.93%
0-1 @ 11.17%
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 31.07%