Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Nou Estadi Castalia

Castellon
2 - 1
Real Oviedo

Suero (40'), Gronning (49')
Moyita (62'), Anton (64'), Indias (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alemao (56')
Luengo (35'), Camarasa (49'), Colombatto (62')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Castellon and Real Oviedo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Castellon

All competitions
Last Game: Cacereno 2-3 Castellon
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Copa del Rey

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Oviedo 2-0 Espanyol
Friday, December 1 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.

Result
CastellonDrawReal Oviedo
41.18% (0.076000000000001 0.08)28.76% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)30.05% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.47% (0.261 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.18% (0.321 0.32)61.81% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.4% (0.239 0.24)81.6% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (0.20100000000001 0.2)29.53% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45% (0.246 0.25)65.55% (-0.246 -0.25)
Real Oviedo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.11% (0.191 0.19)36.88% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (0.19 0.19)73.67% (-0.19 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Castellon 41.18%
    Real Oviedo 30.05%
    Draw 28.76%
CastellonDrawReal Oviedo
1-0 @ 13.28% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 41.18%
1-1 @ 13.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.89% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 10.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 30.05%

How you voted: Castellon vs Real Oviedo

Castellon
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Real Oviedo
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 33
Castellon
1-0
Real Oviedo
Arribas (67' og.)
Bodiger (87'), Indias (90+7')

Blanco (31'), Nahuel (31'), Tejera (34'), Gonzalez (77'), Sangalli (88')
Nov 8, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 11
Real Oviedo
4-0
Castellon
Sangalli (10'), Sanchez (47'), Gonzalez (53', 84')
Arribas (83')

Galvez (33'), Cubillas (87')