Copa del Rey | First Round
Oct 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Principe Felipe

Cacereno
2 - 3
Castellon

Fernandez (22'), Lolo (95' pen.)
Martinez (33'), El Kounni (85'), Vinuela (107')
FT
(aet)
Suero (56'), Traore (101'), Gronning (103')
Fale (69'), Chirino (94'), Fale (107'), Sanchez (117')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Cacereno and Castellon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cacereno

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Last Game: Cacereno 0-1 Real Madrid
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Castellon

Last Game: Malaga 3-0 Castellon
Sunday, May 30 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cacereno win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cacereno win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (7.82%).

Result
CacerenoDrawCastellon
54.95% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)25.95% (0.009999999999998 0.01)19.1% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 42.14% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.25% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)59.75% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)80.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Cacereno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)21.9% (0.017999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)55.16% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.95% (0.016000000000005 0.02)46.05% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.24% (0.013999999999999 0.01)81.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cacereno 54.94%
    Castellon 19.1%
    Draw 25.94%
CacerenoDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 15.31%
2-0 @ 11.63%
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 54.94%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 10.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 19.1%

How you voted: Cacereno vs Castellon

Cacereno
50.0%
Draw
10.0%
Castellon
40.0%
10