Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 20, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de La Romareda

Zaragoza
3 - 0
Castellon

Serrano (13'), Azon (47'), Tejero (66' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Molina (53'), Cubillas (70')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Castellon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 25.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.

Result
Real ZaragozaDrawCastellon
45.76%28.64%25.59%
Both teams to score 42.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.74%63.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.35%82.65%
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25%27.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68%63.31%
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.57%41.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.07%77.93%
Score Analysis
    Real Zaragoza 45.75%
    Castellon 25.59%
    Draw 28.63%
Real ZaragozaDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 14.73%
2-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 8.33%
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 45.75%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 3.67%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.63%
0-1 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 4.46%
1-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 25.59%

How you voted: Zaragoza vs Castellon

Real Zaragoza
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Castellon
22.2%
9
rhs 2.0


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