La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 26, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Balaidos

Celta Vigo
2 - 2
Valencia

Aspas (49' pen.), Douvikas (62')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dominguez (5' og.), Mari (60' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Granada 1-2 Celta Vigo
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 1-3 Girona
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Valencia
53.24% ( 0.43)	25.72% ( -0.07)	21.04% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 45.35% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.03% (

-0.08)

56.97% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.13% (

-0.06)

77.87% (

0.07)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.54% (

0.15)

21.47% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.51% (

0.23)

54.5% (

-0.22)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.74% (

-0.42)

42.26% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.34% (

-0.36)

78.66% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 53.22%

Valencia 21.04%

Draw 25.72%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.22%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.04%