Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.