Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 55.33% ( | 24.29% | 20.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.57% ( | 52.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% ( | 74.1% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( | 18.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.71% ( | 50.29% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.65% ( | 40.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.03% ( | 76.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 12.68% ( 2-0 @ 10.59% ( 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 3-0 @ 5.89% ( 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 55.32% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.36% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.28% Total : 20.38% |