La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Hugo Alvarez 22' goal
  • Borja Iglesias 35' goal
  • Hugo Alvarez 41' yellowcard
  • Hugo Sotelo 61' yellowcard
  • Javier Rodriguez Galiano 68' yellowcard
  • Anastasios Douvikas 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Rosa 40'
  • yellowcard Ivan San Jose Cantalejo 45'+2'
  • goal Raul Moro 50'
  • yellowcard Selim Amallah 55'
  • redcard Mario Martin Rielves 81'
  • yellowcard Stanko Juric 84'
  • yellowcard Juanmi Latasa 87'

Celta Vigo vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2024 4.00pm
Osasuna 3 - 2 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Borja Iglesias

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2024 4.00pm
Barcelona 7 - 0 Valladolid
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Mamadou Sylla

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result

Celta Vigo 55.33% (+0.07)
Draw 24.29%
Real Valladolid 20.38% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.41% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.57% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 52.43% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 25.89% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 74.1% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 11.93% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 88.07% (+0.05)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 81.16% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.84% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 49.71% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 50.29% (+0.01)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 59.65% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 40.35% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 23.03% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 76.97% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 55.32%
Draw 24.28%
Real Valladolid 20.38%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.68% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 10.59% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.89% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 55.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 7.6% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.28%
Real Valladolid
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.23% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 20.38%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 26, 2023 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Haris Seferovic 17' goal
  • Gabri Veiga 32' goal
  • Gabri Veiga 64' goal
La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2022 6.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
  • Roque Mesa 32' goal
  • Joaquin Fernandez 62' goal
  • Sergio Leon 74' goal
  • Sergio Leon 79' goal
  • goal Oscar 43'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 28, 2021 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Renato Tapia 34' yellowcard
  • Joseph Aidoo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jeison Murillo 90'+4' goal
  • Facundo Ferreyra 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shon Weissman 4'
  • yellowcard Sergi Guardiola 40'
  • yellowcard Lucas Olaza 58'
  • goal Fabian Orellana 70'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Fernandez 90'
  • yellowcard Jawad El Yamiq 90'+1'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2020 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
  • Sergi Guardiola 61' yellowcard
  • Sergi Guardiola 66' goal
  • Bruno 80' yellowcard
  • Javi Sanchez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emre Mor 25'
  • yellowcard Fran Beltran 41'
  • goal Iago Aspas 44'
  • yellowcard Hugo Mallo 65'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Jun 17, 2020 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT José Zorrilla
  • Borja Fernandez 50' yellowcard
  • Ruben Alcaraz 59' yellowcard
  • Waldo Rubio 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Okay Yokuslu 31'
  • yellowcard Fyodor Smolov 35'
  • yellowcard Jeison Murillo 61'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Nov 29, 2019 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abanca-Balaídos (Vigo)
  • Hugo Mallo 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Borja 45'
  • yellowcard Sergi Guardiola 66'
  • yellowcard Waldo Rubio 91'