Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.63%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.