Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Valencia |
| 33.96% | 28.94% | 37.1% |
| Both teams to score 44.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.32% | 61.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.5% | 81.5% |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% | 33.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.36% | 70.64% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.09% | 31.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.64% | 68.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.96% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 10.83% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.92% | 0-1 @ 12.38% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 7.07% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.1% |