Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Valencia |
| 48.07% | 25.16% | 26.76% |
| Both teams to score 52.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.94% | 50.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% | 72.02% |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% | 20.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.47% | 53.52% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% | 33.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.23% | 69.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 4.9% 3-0 @ 4.44% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.58% Total : 48.06% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.63% 1-2 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.44% Total : 26.76% |