La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2024 at 4pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
7 - 0
Valladolid

Raphinha (20', 64', 72'), Lewandowski (24'), Kounde (45+2'), Olmo (82'), Torres (85')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Sanchez (45'), Perez (74'), Martin Rielves (84')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, August 27 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Valladolid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valladolid 0-0 Leganes
Wednesday, August 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Real Valladolid
57.34% ( 0.97)	21.88% ( 0.07)	20.77% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 56.64% (

-1.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.22% (

-1.71)

41.78% (

1.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.81% (

-1.75)

64.18% (

1.74)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.65% (

-0.27)

14.35% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.79% (

-0.52)

42.21% (

0.52)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13% (

-1.95)

33.87% (

1.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.46% (

-2.17)

70.53% (

2.17)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 57.34%

Real Valladolid 20.77%

Draw 21.87%

Barcelona	Draw	Real Valladolid
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.62) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.01% Total : 57.34%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.87%	1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.17% Total : 20.77%