La Liga
Gameweek
4
-
Raphinha
20'
-
Robert Lewandowski
24'
-
Jules Kounde
45'+2'
-
Raphinha
64'
-
Raphinha
72'
-
Dani Olmo
82'
-
Ferran Torres
85'
-
Javi Sanchez 45'
-
Kike Perez 74'
-
Mario Martin Rielves 84'
Barcelona vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result
Barcelona
57.34%
▲
(+0.98)
Draw
21.88%
▲
(+0.08)
Real Valladolid
20.77%
▼
(-1.05)
Both Teams to Score:
56.64%
▼
(-1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.22%
▼
(-1.71)
Under 2.5
41.78%
▲
(+1.71)
Over 3.5
35.81%
▼
(-1.75)
Under 3.5
64.18%
▲
(+1.75)
Over 4.5
18.88%
▼
(-1.34)
Under 4.5
81.12%
▲
(+1.34)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
85.65%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
14.35%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 1.5
57.79%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 1.5
42.21%
▲
(+0.52)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5
66.13%
▼
(-1.96)
Under 0.5
33.87%
▲
(+1.95)
Over 1.5
29.46%
▼
(-2.18)
Under 1.5
70.53%
▲
(+2.17)
Score analysis
Barcelona
57.34%
Draw
21.87%
Real Valladolid
20.77%
Barcelona
2-1
@
9.92%
▲
(+0.06)
1-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.63)
2-0 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.53)
3-1 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.29)
3-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.21)
4-1 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.12)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 57.34%
1-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.63)
2-0 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.53)
3-1 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.29)
3-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.21)
4-1 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.12)
4-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 57.34%
Draw
1-1
@
10.21%
▲
(+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.27)
0-0 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.37)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.87%
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.27)
0-0 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.37)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.87%
Real Valladolid
1-2
@
5.53%
▼
(-0.22)
0-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.21)
0-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 20.77%
0-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.21)
0-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 20.77%
Head to Head
La Liga
Gameweek
36
-
Andreas Christensen
2'
-
Cyle Larin
22'
-
Gonzalo Plata
73'
-
Robert Lewandowski 84'
La Liga
Gameweek
3
-
Robert Lewandowski
24'
-
Pedri
43'
-
Robert Lewandowski
64'
-
Sergi Roberto
90'+2'
-
Monchu 45'
-
Javi Sanchez 78'
-
Kike Perez 79'
La Liga
Gameweek
29
-
Antoine Griezmann
28'
-
Oscar Mingueza
43'
-
Martin Braithwaite
84'
-
Ousmane Dembele
90'
-
Bruno 40'
-
Sergi Guardiola 73'
-
Oscar Plano 79'
-
Jordi Masip 80'
-
Sergi Guardiola 90'+4'
La Liga
Gameweek
15
-
Joaquin Fernandez
77'
-
Clement Lenglet 21'
-
Martin Braithwaite 35'
-
Jordi Alba 62'
-
Lionel Messi 65'
-
Frenkie de Jong 68'
La Liga
Gameweek
36
-
Ruben Alcaraz
45'
-
Kike Perez
65'
-
Arturo Vidal 15'
-
Clement Lenglet 40'
-
Jordi Alba 78'
La Liga
Gameweek
11
-
Clement Lenglet
2'
-
Arturo Vidal
29'
-
Lionel Messi
34'
-
Lionel Messi
75'
-
Luis Suarez
77'
-
Kiko Olivas 15'
-
Joaquin Fernandez 45'
-
Sergi Guardiola 68'
-
Michel 79'
Form Data
Build-up
Predicted Lineups