La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 3.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT San Mames Barria
  • Gorka Guruzeta 4' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 20' yellowcard
  • Aitor Paredes 30' yellowcard
  • Gorka Guruzeta 39' goal
  • Benat Prados 52' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Djalo 80' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 25'
  • yellowcard Hugo Sotelo 50'
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 86'

Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2024 6.00pm
Leganes 0 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Oihan Sancet

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 15, 2024 1.00pm
Celta Vigo 3 - 1 Valladolid
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Borja Iglesias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 53.07% (+0.29)
Draw 24.03% (+0.06)
Celta Vigo 22.89% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.51% (-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.32% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 48.68% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 29.21% (-0.51)
Under 3.5 70.79% (+0.51)
Over 4.5 14.13% (-0.35)
Under 4.5 85.87% (+0.35)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 81.71% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 18.29% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 50.65% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 49.35% (+0.18)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 64.26% (-0.62)
Under 0.5 35.74% (+0.62)
Over 1.5 27.49% (-0.64)
Under 1.5 72.51% (+0.64)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 53.07%
Draw 24.03%
Celta Vigo 22.89%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.1% (+0.22)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.43% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.34% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.27% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 53.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.53% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 24.03%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 6.72% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 22.89%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 36
May 15, 2024 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Williot Swedberg 68' goal
  • Hugo Alvarez 71' goal
  • Carl Starfelt 80' yellowcard
  • Franco Cervi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Berenguer 23'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2023 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT San Mames Barria
  • Oihan Sancet 37' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 45'+5' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 52' goal
  • Unai Simon 56' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 90'+8' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 25'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 39'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 41'
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 66'
  • yellowcard Vicente Guaita 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 20, 2023 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inaki Williams 5' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 54' goal
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 50'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Iago Aspas 71' goal
La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 17, 2022 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Alex Petxarroman 41' yellowcard
  • Iker Muniain 62' yellowcard
  • goal Iago Aspas 11'
  • goal Fran Beltran 37'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vazquez 51'
  • yellowcard Renato Tapia 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brais Mendez 52' yellowcard
  • Hugo Mallo 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Inaki Williams 34'
  • yellowcard Unai Simon 90'+6'