La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 22, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Guruzeta (4', 39'), Djalo (80')
Berenguer (20'), Paredes (30'), Prados (52')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Aspas (25' pen.)
Sotelo (50'), Moriba (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Leganes 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, September 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-1 Valladolid
Sunday, September 15 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Celta Vigo
53.07% ( 0.28)	24.03% ( 0.05)	22.89% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 52.51% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.32% (

-0.56)

48.68% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21% (

-0.51)

70.79% (

0.51)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71% (

-0.1)

18.29% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.65% (

-0.17)

49.35% (

0.17)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.26% (

-0.61)

35.74% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.49% (

-0.64)

72.51% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 53.07%

Celta Vigo 22.89%

Draw 24.03%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.07%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.03%	0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 22.89%