La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 22, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Guruzeta (4', 39'), Djalo (80')
Berenguer (20'), Paredes (30'), Prados (52')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Aspas (25' pen.)
Sotelo (50'), Moriba (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Leganes 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, September 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-1 Valladolid
Sunday, September 15 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Celta Vigo
53.07% ( 0.28)	24.03% ( 0.05)	22.89% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 52.51% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.32% (

-0.56)

48.68% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21% (

-0.51)

70.79% (

0.51)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71% (

-0.1)

18.29% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.65% (

-0.17)

49.35% (

0.17)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.26% (

-0.61)

35.74% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.49% (

-0.64)

72.51% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 53.07%

Celta Vigo 22.89%

Draw 24.03%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.07%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.03%	0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 22.89%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo

Athletic Bilbao

75.0%

Draw

17.9%

Celta Vigo

7.1%

Head to Head

May 15, 2024 9pm

Gameweek 36

Celta Vigo

2-1

Athletic Bilbao

Swedberg (68'), Alvarez (71')
Starfelt (80'), Cervi (90+5')

Berenguer (23')

> Preview

Nov 10, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 13

Athletic Bilbao

4-3

Celta Vigo

Sancet (37'), Guruzeta (45+5', 52'), Berenguer (90+8' pen.)
Simon (56'), Garcia (90+2')

Aspas (25'), Bamba (41'), Strand Larsen (66')
Aspas (39'), Guaita (90+5')

> Preview

May 20, 2023 3.15pm

Gameweek 35

Athletic Bilbao

2-1

Celta Vigo

Williams (5'), Berenguer (54')
Paredes (34'), Williams (39'), Garcia (82'), Garcia (90')

Strand Larsen (50')
de la Torre (65')

> Preview

Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm

Gameweek 19

Celta Vigo

1-0

Athletic Bilbao

Aspas (71')

> Preview

Apr 17, 2022 5.30pm

Gameweek 32

Athletic Bilbao

0-2

Celta Vigo

Petxarroman (41'), Muniain (62')

Aspas (11'), Beltran (37')
Vazquez (51'), Tapia (90+3')

> Preview

Form Guide

Leganes 0-2 Athletic Bilbao

Las Palmas 2-3 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Atletico

Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia

Barcelona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Getafe

Celta Vigo 3-1 Valladolid

Osasuna 3-2 Celta Vigo

Villarreal 4-3 Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo 3-1 Valencia

Celta Vigo 2-1 Alaves

West Ham 8-7 Celta Vigo (0-0 pen.)

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102	39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78	38	40	84
3	Atletico Madrid Atletico	38	22	10	6	68	30	38	76
4	Athletic Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54	29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71	51	20	70
6	Real Betis Betis	38	16	12	10	57	50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59	57	2	55
8	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4	52
9	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9	48
11	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10	46
12	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5	42
14	Alaves Alaves	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10	42
15	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11	42
16	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13	41
17	Girona Girona	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17	40
R	Las Palmas Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21	32
R	Real Valladolid Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64	16
					> La Liga Full Table