Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 36.73% ( | 29.65% ( | 33.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.94% ( | 64.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.77% ( | 83.23% ( |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( | 33.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.99% ( | 70% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.52% ( | 35.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.75% ( | 72.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 12.99% ( 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 3-2 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.72% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.84% ( 2-2 @ 3.83% ( Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.65% | 0-1 @ 12.27% ( 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 2-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 33.61% |