Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
36.73% ( -0) | 29.65% ( 0.05) | 33.62% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 42.98% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.94% ( -0.16) | 64.06% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.77% ( -0.11) | 83.23% ( 0.11) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.62% ( -0.08) | 33.38% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.99% ( -0.09) | 70% ( 0.09) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.52% ( -0.12) | 35.48% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% ( -0.12) | 72.24% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.72% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.65% | 0-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 33.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 18 |
3 | Villarreal | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 17 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |