Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 43.1%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.