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Las Palmas
La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Athletic Bilbao logo

Las Palmas
2 - 3
Athletic Bilbao

Ramirez (58'), Munoz (83')
Suarez (27')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sancet (7'), Williams (30'), Paredes (76')
Jauregizar (22'), Ruiz de Galarreta (45+2')
Jauregizar (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Las PalmasDrawAthletic Bilbao
38.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)27.03% (0.053000000000001 0.05)34.79% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.72% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.43% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)54.57% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.08% (-0.175 -0.18)75.91% (0.17800000000001 0.18)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)27.75% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (-0.13 -0.13)63.32% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2% (-0.134 -0.13)29.79% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.12% (-0.165 -0.16)65.87% (0.166 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Las Palmas 38.17%
    Athletic Bilbao 34.79%
    Draw 27.03%
Las PalmasDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.17%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 34.79%

How you voted: Las Palmas vs Athletic Bilbao

Las Palmas
14.0%
Draw
20.0%
Athletic Bilbao
66.0%
100
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Las Palmas
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Coco (64'), Cardona (81'), Valles (82')
Guruzeta (31'), Coco (65' og.)
Vivian (48'), de Marcos (67'), Paredes (90+2')
Dec 20, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Las Palmas
Gomez (90+4')
Williams (90+6')

Araujo (38'), Perrone (68'), Cardona (90+6')
Feb 9, 2018 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Las Palmas
Aduriz (12'), Saborit (51'), Arrizabalaga (52'), Garcia (77')
Navarro (12'), Calleri (41'), Macedo (59'), Chichizola (79')
Sep 17, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Remy (87')
Calleri (58'), Tannane (63')

Laporte (60'), Aduriz (64'), Vesga (77')
Apr 14, 2017 7.45pm
Athletic Bilbao
5-1
Las Palmas
San Jose (7'), Muniain (9', 58'), Aduriz (18', 59')
San Jose (66')
Bigas (12')
Viera (60'), Livaja (89')