Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 38.18% ( | 27.03% ( | 34.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.43% ( | 54.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.08% ( | 75.91% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( | 27.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.67% ( | 63.32% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( | 29.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.12% ( | 65.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0-2 @ 6.06% ( 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.79% |