La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 1, 2024 at 4pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
2 - 0
Las Palmas

Vicente (7'), Martinez (78')
Guridi (32'), Conechny (45'), Abqar (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Alaves
Wednesday, August 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Las Palmas

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Real Madrid
Thursday, August 29 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Las Palmas
43% ( 0.31)	30.31% ( 0.13)	26.69% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 39.09% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.37% (

-0.53)

67.63% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.31% (

-0.36)

85.68% (

0.36)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

-0.1)

31.43% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19% (

-0.12)

67.81% (

0.12)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.01% (

-0.7)

42.99% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.72% (

-0.6)

79.28% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Alaves 42.99%

Las Palmas 26.68%

Draw 30.31%

Alaves	Draw	Las Palmas
1-0 @ 15.63% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.99%	0-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.26) 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.31%	0-1 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.06% Total : 26.68%