Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
| 49.98% ( | 28.39% ( | 21.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 39.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.01% ( | 64.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.12% ( | 83.88% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( | 26.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.37% ( | 61.63% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.66% ( | 46.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.02% ( | 81.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 16.3% ( 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 3-0 @ 4.81% ( 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 4-1 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 49.97% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 12.25% ( 2-2 @ 3.21% ( Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.59% Total : 21.63% |