Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
4 - 1
Santa Clara

Akturkoglu (27'), Luis (34'), Silva (47'), di Maria (58')
Silva (74')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Lopes (1')
Safira (30'), Rocha (72'), Serginho (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
Friday, August 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Santa Clara 2-1 AVS
Saturday, August 31 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 68.06%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Santa Clara
68.06% ( 0.6)	19.31% ( -0.17)	12.63% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 47.27% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.77% (

-0.29)

45.23% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.42% (

-0.27)

67.58% (

0.28)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.74% (

0.08)

12.26% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.01% (

0.17)

37.99% (

-0.17)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.87% (

-0.87)

46.13% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.18% (

-0.68)

81.82% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Benfica 68.05%

Santa Clara 12.63%

Draw 19.31%

Benfica	Draw	Santa Clara
2-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.14% Total : 68.05%	1-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.31%	0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.63%