Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 28, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
5 - 1
Gil Vicente

Otamendi (17'), Akturkoglu (25'), Amdouni (78'), Luis (90'), Rollheiser (90+4')
Kokcu (33')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Correia (8')
Garcia Gonzalez (9'), Cruz (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 0-3 Benfica
Monday, September 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.37%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 7.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.85%) and 1-0 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Gil Vicente
77.37% ( 0.33)	14.69% ( -0.1)	7.94% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 45.43% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.04% (

-0.39)

37.95% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.78% (

-0.42)

60.21% (

0.41)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.95% (

-0.02)

8.04% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.68% (

-0.05)

28.31% (

0.04)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.4% (

-0.84)

50.6% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.93% (

-0.58)

85.07% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Benfica 77.35%

Gil Vicente 7.94%

Draw 14.69%

Benfica	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 77.35%	1-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.64% Total : 14.69%	0-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 7.94%