Champions League | League Stage
Sep 19, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitic
Red Star1 - 2Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, September 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Red Star Belgrade 1-2 Benfica
Red Star will be regarded as the underdogs for Thursday's contest, but they cannot be underestimated by Benfica on home soil. Having said that, we still expect the Portuguese outfit to get the job done and pick up maximum points on matchday one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Benfica in this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Benfica |
37.5% ( 0.16) | 23.84% ( 0.47) | 38.66% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 62.09% ( -1.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
