Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.02%) and 2-3 (5.26%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.