Sturm Graz
0-1
Red Star Red Star Belgrade

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

Last Game: Austria Vienna 3-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, December 14 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Red Star Belgrade

Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-1 Red Star
Thursday, December 11 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.71%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (6.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
28.22%	22.01%	49.77%

Both teams to score 65.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.39%

34.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.44%

56.55%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9%

24.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.6%

58.39%

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.69%

14.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.87%

42.13%

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 28.22%

Red Star Belgrade 49.77%

Draw 22.01%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 6.79% 1-0 @ 4.91% 2-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 1.66% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.77% Total : 28.22%	1-1 @ 9.54% 2-2 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 3.45% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.01%	1-2 @ 9.28% 0-1 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 6.52% 1-3 @ 6.01% 2-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 4.23% 1-4 @ 2.92% 2-4 @ 2.08% 0-4 @ 2.05% 1-5 @ 1.14% 3-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.59% Total : 49.77%