Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.