Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 13, 2024 at 6pm UK

Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
4 - 1
Jagiellonia

(Bodo/Glimt win 5-1 on aggregate)

Fet (34', 56'), Dybvik Maatta (38'), Hogh (70')
Petter Hauge (52'), Helmersen (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Berg (4' og.)
Imaz (80'), Marczuk (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Jagiellonia Bialystok, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Viking FK 1-1 Bodo/Glimt
Saturday, August 10 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Next Game: APOEL vs. Slovan Bratislava
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Jagiellonia 0-1 Bodo/Glimt
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Champions League

Next Game: APOEL vs. Slovan Bratislava
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 12.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/Glimt	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
71.16%	16.38%	12.45%

Both teams to score 57.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.4%

31.6% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.9%

53.09% (

-0)

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.14%

7.85% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.16%

27.83% (

-0)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.55% (

-0)

37.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.77%

74.23% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bodo/Glimt 71.16%

Jagiellonia Bialystok 12.45%

Draw 16.38%

Bodo/Glimt	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 7.93% 1-0 @ 7.48% 4-0 @ 5.13% 4-1 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 3.89% 5-0 @ 2.61% 5-1 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 2.48% 5-2 @ 1.26% 6-0 @ 1.11% 6-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.63% Total : 71.16%	1-1 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 4.59% 0-0 @ 2.94% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.38%	1-2 @ 3.61% 0-1 @ 2.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-2 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.85% Total : 12.45%