Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Radomiak Radom	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
36.6% ( -0.15)	24.79% ( 0.21)	38.61% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 58.5% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.3% (

-1.02)

44.7% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.93% (

-0.99)

67.06% (

0.98)

Radomiak Radom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.95% (

-0.55)

24.05% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.68% (

-0.78)

58.32% (

0.78)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.01% (

-0.48)

22.98% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.22% (

-0.72)

56.78% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Radomiak Radom 36.6%

Jagiellonia Bialystok 38.61%

Draw 24.79%

Radomiak Radom	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.01% Total : 36.6%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79%	1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.61%