Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 33
May 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Piast Gliwice
1 - 1
Jagiellonia

Ameyaw (77')
Mokwa (41'), Felix (56'), Szymanski (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Imaz (90')
Naranjo (31'), Ameyaw (60'), Pululu (83')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Piast Gliwice and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Piast Gliwice 4-0 LKS Lodz
Friday, May 10 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, May 11 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 24.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Piast GliwiceDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
52.25% (-0.472 -0.47)23.58% (0.18 0.18)24.17% (0.296 0.3)
Both teams to score 55.49% (-0.252 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.54% (-0.495 -0.49)45.46% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.21% (-0.473 -0.47)67.79% (0.477 0.48)
Piast Gliwice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (-0.354 -0.35)17.39% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.19% (-0.626 -0.63)47.81% (0.629 0.63)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)32.83% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)69.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Piast Gliwice 52.25%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 24.17%
    Draw 23.58%
Piast GliwiceDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 9.99% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 52.25%
1-1 @ 11.12% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.131 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.54% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 24.17%

Head to Head
Nov 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Jagiellonia
0-0
Piast Gliwice
Romanczuk (16'), Naranjo (41'), Sacek (90')
Holubek (14')
Mosor (73')
rhs 2.0


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