Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 28
Apr 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
1 - 3
Cracovia

Ghita (9' og.)
Stojinovic (45+5'), Naranjo (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rakoczy (22'), Hoskonen (25'), Atanasov (49')
Rakoczy (43'), Skovgaard (45+7'), Kakabadze (58'), Atanasov (90+2')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and KS Cracovia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Legia 1-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, April 7 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 2-2 LKS Lodz
Friday, April 5 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a KS Cracovia win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawKS Cracovia
58.87% (0.024000000000001 0.02)22.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)18.57% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.7% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)47.87% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (0.029 0.03)70.05% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08% (0.015999999999991 0.02)15.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.82% (0.035000000000004 0.04)45.18% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.3% (0.00099999999999767 0)39.7% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.63% (0.0019999999999989 0)76.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 58.86%
    KS Cracovia 18.57%
    Draw 22.56%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawKS Cracovia
1-0 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 58.86%
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.56%
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.57%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Cracovia
2-4
Jagiellonia
Ghita (57'), Glik (60')
Glik (64'), Smiglewski (86')
Wdowik (7'), Normann Hansen (9', 49'), Marczuk (55')