Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 25
Mar 16, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza

Radomiak Radom
0 - 2
Jagiellonia


Donis (28'), Jakubik (31'), Luizao (56'), Rocha (70'), Vuskovic (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Skrzypczak (15'), Caliskaner (73')
Romanczuk (66'), Sacek (68'), Marczuk (85')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Radomiak Radom and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Radomiak Radom

All competitions
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 2-3 Radomiak Radom
Friday, March 8 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-1 Slask Wroclaw
Friday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radomiak Radom win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Radomiak Radom win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Radomiak RadomDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
40.75% (-0.364 -0.36)25.35% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)33.9% (0.398 0.4)
Both teams to score 56.09% (0.222 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.37% (0.24 0.24)47.62% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17% (0.222 0.22)69.82% (-0.221 -0.22)
Radomiak Radom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)23.2% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91% (-0.11 -0.11)57.09% (0.111 0.11)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (0.361 0.36)26.97% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69% (0.469 0.47)62.31% (-0.467 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Radomiak Radom 40.75%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 33.9%
    Draw 25.34%
Radomiak RadomDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 40.75%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.9%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 8
Jagiellonia
3-2
Radomiak Radom
Imaz (27'), Naranjo (45+8'), Pululu (46')
Nene (32'), Kupisz (84')
Henrique (3', 12')
Raphael (32'), Cestor (34'), Machado (55'), Kaput (80')