Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Lodz

Widzew Lodz
1 - 3
Jagiellonia

Pawlowski (11')
Zielinski (16')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pululu (9'), Marczuk (33'), Imaz (50')
Sacek (22'), Lewicki (90+3')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Widzew Lodz and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 1-2 Szczecin
Saturday, December 16 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 3-3 Jagiellonia
Saturday, December 16 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Widzew LodzDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
44.79% (-0.614 -0.61)23.72% (0.051000000000002 0.05)31.48% (0.563 0.56)
Both teams to score 60.88% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.03% (0.015999999999998 0.02)40.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.64% (0.016999999999996 0.02)63.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.43% (-0.244 -0.24)18.57% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.16% (-0.414 -0.41)49.84% (0.416 0.42)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (0.358 0.36)25.23% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (0.49 0.49)59.97% (-0.489 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Widzew Lodz 44.79%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 31.48%
    Draw 23.72%
Widzew LodzDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.64% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 44.79%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.088 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.45% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 1% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.48%

Head to Head
Aug 4, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 3
Jagiellonia
2-1
Widzew Lodz
Pululu (79' pen.), Wdowik (86')
Olszewski (49')
Terpilowski (36')
Terpilowski (39'), Sanchez (58'), Marques Almeida Vieira Silva (80')