Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 16
Nov 26, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
1 - 3
Widzew Lodz

Karlstrom (88')
Milic (79'), Murawski (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alvarez (16'), Klimek (90+3'), Pawlowski (90+6')
Silva (15'), Kun (51'), Pawlowski (82')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Legia 0-0 Lech Poznan
Sunday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-1 Ruch Chorzow
Saturday, November 18 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 60.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Widzew Lodz win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawWidzew Lodz
60.67% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)21.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)18.19% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 54.65% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)42.26% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)64.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)13.48% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.5%40.5%
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.82% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.38% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)73.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 60.67%
    Widzew Lodz 18.19%
    Draw 21.13%
Lech PoznanDrawWidzew Lodz
2-0 @ 9.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.96%
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.65%
4-0 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.34%
5-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 60.67%
1-1 @ 9.94%
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.96%
0-2 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 18.19%