Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.