Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2024 11.30am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej
  • Kajetan Szmyt 3' goal
  • Stefan Savic 20' goal
  • Miguel Luis 40' yellowcard
  • Dario Vizinger 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Mezghrani 51' yellowcard
  • Maciej Zurawski 57' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Stavropoulos 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustav Berggren 35'
  • goal Bartosz Nowak 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Zoran Arsenic 90'+4'

Warta Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Warta Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Dec 15, 2023 5.00pm
Gornik 3 - 0 Warta Poznan
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kajetan Szmyt

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Dec 17, 2023 2.00pm
Rakow 1 - 0 Korona Kielce
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Ante Crnac

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Warta Poznan 27.55% (-0.01)
Draw 27.15% (-0.01)
Rakow Czestochowa 45.31% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.59% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.76% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 57.24% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 21.91% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 78.09% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 9.46% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 90.54% (-0.01)

Warta Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 63.61% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.39%
Over 1.5 26.83%
Under 1.5 73.17%

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5 74.81% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.2% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.07% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.93% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Warta Poznan 27.55%
Draw 27.14%
Rakow Czestochowa 45.3%
Warta Poznan
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.46% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.69% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.58%
3-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 27.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 9.17% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.45% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.14%
Rakow Czestochowa
0-1 @ 12.63%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-2 @ 8.71% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 45.3%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 3
Aug 5, 2023 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Rakow
  • Lukasz Zwolinski 50' goal
  • Giannis Papanikolaou 63' yellowcard
  • Jean Carlos 83' goal
  • goal Miguel Luis 5'
  • yellowcard Kajetan Szmyt 43'
  • goal Maciej Zurawski 57'