Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 21
Feb 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza

Radomiak Radom
0 - 4
Szczecin


Rossi (66')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Ulvestad (27', 43'), Grosicki (35' pen.), Paryzek (90+1')
Ulvestad (3'), Bichakhchyan (45+1')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Radomiak Radom and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cracovia 6-0 Radomiak Radom
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 0-1 Szczecin
Sunday, February 11 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Radomiak RadomDrawPogon Szczecin
27.56% (0.070999999999998 0.07)25.79% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)46.64% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.57% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.9% (0.011000000000003 0.01)52.1% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.18% (0.010999999999999 0.01)73.82% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Radomiak Radom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (0.064000000000007 0.06)33.61% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (0.068999999999999 0.07)70.26% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)22.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)55.79% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Radomiak Radom 27.56%
    Pogon Szczecin 46.64%
    Draw 25.79%
Radomiak RadomDrawPogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 8.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.46% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 27.56%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 11.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 46.64%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 4
Szczecin
0-2
Radomiak Radom

Gustafsson (40')
Semedo (20'), Cichocki (27')
Semedo (39'), Raphael (45'), Henrique (69')
rhs 2.0


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