Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Arena Zabrze

Gornik
1 - 0
Szczecin

Ennali (5')
Janza (70'), Sekulic (88'), Musiolik (90+2'), Lukoszek (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zech (20'), Bichakhchyan (41')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-1 Gornik
Sunday, November 26 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Szczecin 2-3 Stal Mielec
Saturday, November 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Gornik ZabrzeDrawPogon Szczecin
27.99% (-0.391 -0.39)25.54% (0.042000000000002 0.04)46.47% (0.35 0.35)
Both teams to score 52.65% (-0.396 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17% (-0.39 -0.39)50.82% (0.39 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (-0.344 -0.34)72.71% (0.345 0.34)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (-0.50099999999999 -0.5)32.61% (0.501 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (-0.565 -0.57)69.15% (0.565 0.56)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)21.87% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)55.11% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gornik Zabrze 27.99%
    Pogon Szczecin 46.47%
    Draw 25.53%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawPogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.48% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.67% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 27.99%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 10.84% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.23% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.24% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.68% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 46.47%

rhs 2.0


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