Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 22.7% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.