Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 16
Nov 25, 2023 4.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Vahan Bichakhchyan 21' goal
  • Efthymios Koulouris 27' goal
  • goal Ilya Shkurin 6'
  • yellowcard Marco Ehmann 42'
  • goal Ilya Shkurin 55'
  • goal Ilya Shkurin 84'

Pogon Szczecin vs Stal Mielec - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Nov 12, 2023 2.00pm
Szczecin 1 - 1 Rakow
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Kamil Grosicki

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Nov 12, 2023 11.30am
Stal Mielec 2 - 1 Gornik
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Ilya Shkurin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 22.7% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Pogon Szczecin 55.31% (+0.31)
Draw 21.99% (-0.01)
Stal Mielec 22.7% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.08% (-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.15% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 39.85% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 37.79% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 62.21% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 20.39% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 79.6% (+0.25)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5 85.65% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 14.35% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 57.8% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 42.2% (+0.02)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5 68.98% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 31.02% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 32.67% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 67.33% (+0.50)

Score analysis

Pogon Szczecin 55.31%
Draw 21.99%
Stal Mielec 22.7%
Pogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 9.82% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.64% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 8.39% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 6.36% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.43% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.64% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 55.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.45% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.99%
Stal Mielec
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 5.21% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 22.7%